The Baltic Future of Greece
Likely consequences of IMF and EU conditionalty
Latvia and Estonia show us what Greece may look forward to if it follows the advice it gets from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Union. As noted previously, Latvia has experienced the worst two-year economic downturn on record, losing more than 25% of GDP, a study (see reference) shows. A comment by Mark Weisbrot
Latvia is projected to shrink further during the first half of this year, before beginning a slow recovery, in which the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects that it will not reach even its 2006 level of output by 2015 – nine years later. With 22% unemployment, a sharp increase in emigration and cuts to education funding that will cause long-term damage the social costs of this trajectory are also high ...
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